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May 22, 20260 citations

The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment and Energy Consumption on Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Indonesia: An Inverted U-shaped Curve Approach

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ASAndryan SetyadharmaTNThanh NgoEWErna Widiyawati

Key Points

  • This study explores the inverted U-shaped relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and carbon dioxide emissions in Indonesia, as well as the impacts of energy consumption and real GDP on emissions.
  • Quantitative approach employing DOLS analysis from 1990 to 2023
  • Assessment of FDI, energy consumption, real GDP per capita, and industrial added value on CO2 emissions
  • Focus on determining the presence of an inverted U-shaped relationship
  • FDI initially increases CO2 emissions, then shifts to a negative relationship as it grows, indicating an inverted U-shaped curve.
  • Energy consumption positively impacts CO2 emissions, confirming it as a major driver of increased emissions in Indonesia.
  • Findings highlight a shift from a pollution-haven model to a pollution-halo dynamic due to FDI trends.

Abstract

Developing countries are the main contributors to the increase in global emissions, contributing 95% of the total increase in emissions. Indonesia is one of the developing countries, where Indonesia also faces great challenges in reducing emissions. This study aims to determine the presents of an inverted U-shaped relationship between FDI and carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions in Indonesia. This study also tries to find the impact of energy consumption on CO₂ in Indonesia. In addition, this study also uses real GDP per capita, and industrial added value to seeks their impacts on CO₂ emissions in Indonesia This study using a quantitative approach with DOLS analysis techniques with a time frame from 1990-2023. The result of this study shows that FDI has a positive effect of FDI on CO₂ emissions in the beginning and then turns reverse with a negative effect of FDI on CO₂ emissions, indicating an inverted U-shaped relationship between FDI and CO₂ emissions in Indonesia. This result indicates that recent trends in FDI in Indonesia seem to enhance, rather than degrade, environmental quality where the environmental repercussions of FDI in Indonesia are transitioning from a pollution-haven model to a more distinct pollution-halo dynamic. Meanwhile, this study also shows that energy consumption has a positive effect on CO₂, indicate the rising energy consumption in Indonesia has been confirmed to be the major driver of increasing CO₂ emissions. Consequently, Indonesia's future energy cannot rely on fossil fuels. This study is supporting the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 13: Climate Action.

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Cite This Study

Setyadharma et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0ff412d674f7c03778d146https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202671206005/pdf
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Analysis of Economic Growth and Carbon Emissions in Indonesia2026
  2. 2Sustainable Development in Indonesia: A Study of Energy Consumption, CO2 Emissions, FDI, and Gross Capital Formation2024 · 5 citations
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  5. 5The Influence of GDP, Coal Exports, and Fossil Energy Consumption On Indonesian Air Pollution Reviewed From CO2 Emissions2024