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July 12, 2018Nature Communications594 citationsOpen Access

Task-induced brain state manipulation improves prediction of individual traits

AGAbigail S. GreeneSGSiyuan GaoDSDustin Scheinost

Key Result

By considering task-induced brain state and sex, the best-performing task-based fMRI model explained over 20% of the variance in fluid intelligence scores, compared to <6% for rest-based models.

Study Design

Type

Observational (n=1,086)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

Do predictive models built from task fMRI data improve the prediction of individual traits like fluid intelligence compared to resting-state fMRI data?

P
Population
Individuals from two large, independent data sets
I
Intervention
Predictive models built from task fMRI data
C
Comparator
Predictive models built from resting-state fMRI data
O
Outcome
Prediction of fluid intelligence scores (variance explained)surrogate

Task-based fMRI significantly outperforms resting-state fMRI in predicting individual traits such as fluid intelligence, suggesting a paradigm shift in functional connectivity analyses.

Main Result

Absolute Event Rate: 20.3% vs 5.9%

p-value: p=<0.001

Limitations

  • Overfitting is difficult to eliminate completely in connectivity analyses with many edges.
  • Differences in sample age ranges and experimental designs between datasets make cross-dataset prediction challenging.
  • Potential confounding effects of global signal regression.

Abstract

Recent work has begun to relate individual differences in brain functional organization to human behaviors and cognition, but the best brain state to reveal such relationships remains an open question. In two large, independent data sets, we here show that cognitive tasks amplify trait-relevant individual differences in patterns of functional connectivity, such that predictive models built from task fMRI data outperform models built from resting-state fMRI data. Further, certain tasks consistently yield better predictions of fluid intelligence than others, and the task that generates the best-performing models varies by sex. By considering task-induced brain state and sex, the best-performing model explains over 20% of the variance in fluid intelligence scores, as compared to <6% of variance explained by rest-based models. This suggests that identifying and inducing the right brain state in a given group can better reveal brain-behavior relationships, motivating a paradigm shift from rest- to task-based functional connectivity analyses.

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Cite This Study

Greene et al. (2018) conducted an observational in Healthy individuals (fluid intelligence prediction) (n=1,086). Task-based fMRI predictive modeling vs. Resting-state fMRI predictive modeling was evaluated on Variance in fluid intelligence (gF) explained by the predictive model (p=<0.001). By considering task-induced brain state and sex, the best-performing task-based fMRI model explained over 20% of the variance in fluid intelligence scores, compared to <6% for rest-based models.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a10e72f5e6663f9d264a01dhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04920-3
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