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December 17, 2023Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Bisnis Islam2 citationsOpen Access

Analysis The Influence of Sharia Capital Market and Sharia Macroeconomic Variables on Indonesia’s Economic Growth

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MHMiftahul HudaASAhmad SumintoSSSyaidatul Sa’diah

Key Points

  • The research investigates the short and long-term effects of Sharia capital market and macroeconomic variables on Indonesia’s economic growth.
  • Used secondary time series data from 2017-2021
  • Applied vector autoregression (VAR) and vector error correction model (VECM) for analysis
  • Focused on variables like ISSI, corporate sukuk, household consumption, and inflation
  • In the short term, ISSI, corporate sukuk, household consumption, and inflation did not significantly affect GDP.
  • In the long run, ISSI and corporate sukuk had a significant negative effect on GDP, while inflation showed a positive effect.
  • Household consumption had no significant long-term effect on GDP, and overall, the variables did not significantly impact GDP when analyzed together.

Abstract

The research aims to determine the effect of the Sharia capital market and Sharia macroeconomic variables on Indonesia's economic growth in 2017-2021 in the short and long term. The research uses quantitative methods, and the data used is secondary data from time series. The data analysis techniques used are the vector autoregression (VAR) and the vector error correction model (VECM). The results show that in the short term, the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index (ISSI), corporate sukuk, household consumption, and inflation do not have a significant effect on economic growth. The variables of the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index (ISSI) and corporate sukuk have a significant negative effect on GDP in the long run. Meanwhile, inflation has a significant positive effect on GDP in the long run. Household consumption does not affect GDP in the long run. Simultaneously, all variables, namely ISSI, corporate sukuk, household consumption, and inflation, have no significant effect on GDP. GDP responds positively to shocks that occur in ISSI, corporate bonds, and inflation. Meanwhile, household consumption has a negative response from GDP. The variable that has the largest contribution is GDP, household consumption, ISSI, and inflation, and the smallest contribution is shown by corporate sukuk.

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Cite This Study

Huda et al. (2023) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a11d79bc031bb6829a56a02https://doi.org/10.24239/jiebi.v5i2.191.113-133
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