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February 11, 2025BMC Medicine12 citationsOpen Access

Modifiable factors and 10-year and lifetime cardiovascular disease risk in adults with new-onset hypertension: insights from the Kailuan cohort

SWShouling WuNorth China University of Science and TechnologyYWYanxiu WangNorth China University of Science and TechnologyJWJiangshui WangChinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College

Key Result

In adults with new-onset hypertension, maintaining four or more modifiable factors at favorable levels was associated with a 17% lower 10-year cardiovascular disease risk (HR 0.83) compared to normotensive controls.

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=59,194)

Structured PICO

Does maintaining favorable modifiable cardiovascular health factors reduce incident cardiovascular disease in adults with new-onset hypertension?

P
Population
59,194 adults (29,597 with new-onset hypertension and no prior CVD, matched 1:1 by age and sex to 29,597 normotensive controls), mean age 52.8, 19.0% female, from the Kailuan cohort in China.
I
Intervention
Maintaining four or more modifiable cardiovascular health factors at favorable levels (assessed using the American Heart Association's Life's Essential 8 algorithm).
C
Comparator
Normotensive controls, or hypertensive individuals with fewer favorable modifiable factors.
O
Outcome
Incident cardiovascular disease (composite of fatal and nonfatal coronary heart disease, heart failure hospitalization, and stroke) over a median follow-up of 9.81 years.composite

In adults with new-onset hypertension, maintaining four or more modifiable cardiovascular health factors at favorable levels is associated with a 10-year and lifetime CVD risk comparable to that of normotensive individuals.

Main Result

Effect estimate: HR 0.83 (95% CI 0.72-0.97)

Absolute Event Rate: 4.83% vs 5.77%

Limitations

  • Did not differentiate between essential and secondary hypertension
  • Adapted the Life's Essential 8 algorithm to fit available data (e.g., using salt consumption to assess dietary health)
  • Cannot completely rule out residual and unmeasured confounders such as genetic predisposition, medication use, and psychological status
  • Study population predominantly consisted of employees and retirees of a single company with a higher proportion of males, limiting generalizability

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Preventing cardiovascular disease (CVD) in adults with hypertension is essential, but it remains uncertain whether optimizing modifiable factors can eliminate the excess CVD risk associated with new-onset hypertension. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, 29,597 adults with new-onset hypertension and no prior CVD (from 2006-2016 surveys) were each matched by age and sex to a normotensive control. Eight modifiable factors were assessed using the American Heart Association's Life's Essential 8 algorithm. We followed participants for incident CVD until December 2020, estimating 10-year and lifetime (age 25-95) CVD risks using the Fine-Gray competing risks model. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 9.81 years, adults with new-onset hypertension had higher 10-year (8.97% vs. 6.31%) and lifetime CVD risks (45.55% vs. 34.98%) compared to normotensive controls. After adjusting for age, sex, and other unmodifiable factors, each additional favorable factor was associated with a stepwise reduction in CVD risk (P-trend < 0.05). Hypertensive participants with four or more favorable factors had a 17% lower 10-year CVD risk (HR 0.83; 95% CI 0.72-0.97) and a similar lifetime CVD risk (HR 0.90; 95% CI 0.78-1.05) compared to normotensive controls. Notably, the protective effect was weaker among those with early-onset (before age 45) hypertension than those with later-onset (age ≥ 60) hypertension (P-interaction < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: In adults with new-onset hypertension, maintaining four or more modifiable factors at favorable levels was associated with a CVD risk comparable to that of normotensive individuals. However, young hypertensive adults may require more aggressive interventions to mitigate CVD risk.

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Cite This Study

Wu et al. (2025) conducted a cohort in New-onset hypertension (n=59,194). Four or more favorable modifiable factors (Life's Essential 8) vs. Normotensive controls was evaluated on 10-year incident cardiovascular disease (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.72-0.97). In adults with new-onset hypertension, maintaining four or more modifiable factors at favorable levels was associated with a 17% lower 10-year cardiovascular disease risk (HR 0.83) compared to normotensive controls.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a11e53a71528255b221bee5https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-025-03923-4
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