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October 1, 1976Journal of Hygiene27 citationsOpen Access

Studies on the 1967–68 foot and mouth disease epidemic: incubation period and herd serial interval

MHMartin Hugh‐JonesLouisiana State UniversityRTRowland R. TinlineQueen's University

Key Result

The modal herd serial interval for foot and mouth disease was estimated to be 8-10 days, with the interval lengthening from 8 days to about 2 weeks during the latter stages of the epidemic.

Study Design

Type

Observational (n=2,300)

Structured PICO

P
Population
Herds affected by the 1967-68 foot and mouth disease epidemic
O
Outcome
Incubation period and herd serial interval

The herd serial interval for foot and mouth disease during the 1967-68 epidemic was 8-10 days initially but lengthened to about 2 weeks in later stages.

Limitations

  • Difficulty in determining exact donor infectivity and recipient acquisition times under field conditions.
  • Apparent incubation period depends on animals with the most rapid response due to whole-herd slaughter policies.
  • Animals can excrete infective amounts of virus for several days before apparent clinical disease.
  • Small numbers available for analysis as the epidemic wanes result in increasingly diffuse results.

Abstract

The incubation period during this epidemic was studied using both a spectral analysis-cum-filtering method and analysis of case histories. Using spectral analysis, the modal herd serial interval was estimated to be 8--10 days based on the record of the daily number of outbreaks and an adjusted cattler series. The case histories tended to confirm these estimates but indicated that the serial interval varied considerably between species. The filtering method revealed that the herd serial interval apparently changed during the epidemic. For the first 4 weeks the interval was 8 days, while in the latter stages it was about 2 weeks.

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Cite This Study

Hugh‐Jones et al. (1976) conducted an observational in Foot and mouth disease (n=2,300). The modal herd serial interval for foot and mouth disease was estimated to be 8-10 days, with the interval lengthening from 8 days to about 2 weeks during the latter stages of the epidemic.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a127dfb45487b7639a69887https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022172400024566
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