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February 28, 2022Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine11 citationsOpen Access

Machine Learning Using a Single-Lead ECG to Identify Patients With Atrial Fibrillation-Induced Heart Failure

GLGiorgio LuongoFRFelix ReesDNDeborah Nairn

Key Result

A machine learning algorithm using three beat-to-beat features from a single-lead ECG identified patients with atrial fibrillation-induced heart failure with an accuracy of 73.5%.

Study Design

Type

Observational (n=52)

Structured PICO

Does a machine learning algorithm using single-lead ECG beat-to-beat patterns accurately identify patients with atrial fibrillation-induced heart failure?

P
Population
64 patients with atrial fibrillation (32 with AF-induced heart failure and 32 controls) from whom 5-min length RR-interval time series were extracted from single-lead Holter-ECGs
I
Intervention
Decision tree machine learning classifier using features extracted from 5-min RR-interval time series (including spectral entropy, mean relative RR-interval, and root mean square of successive differences)
O
Outcome
Diagnostic accuracy, specificity, sensitivity, and positive predictive value (PPV) to correctly stratify segments to AF-induced heart failuresurrogate

A machine learning classifier using single-lead ECG RR-interval features can identify patients with atrial fibrillation-induced heart failure with high specificity.

Limitations

  • Restricted to the analysis of beat-to-beat intervals extracted from a single-lead ECG
  • Impact of varying physiological conditions during daytime such as physical activity or mental stress was not evaluated
  • Influence of pertinent baseline medications on the performance of the algorithm is unknown

Abstract

Aims: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure often co-exist. Early identification of AF patients at risk for AF-induced heart failure (AF-HF) is desirable to reduce both morbidity and mortality as well as health care costs. We aimed to leverage the characteristics of beat-to-beat-patterns in AF to prospectively discriminate AF patients with and without AF-HF. Methods: A dataset of 10,234 5-min length RR-interval time series derived from 26 AF-HF patients and 26 control patients was extracted from single-lead Holter-ECGs. A total of 14 features were extracted, and the most informative features were selected. Then, a decision tree classifier with 5-fold cross-validation was trained, validated, and tested on the dataset randomly split. The derived algorithm was then tested on 2,261 5-min segments from six AF-HF and six control patients and validated for various time segments. Results: The algorithm based on the spectral entropy of the RR-intervals, the mean value of the relative RR-interval, and the root mean square of successive differences of the relative RR-interval yielded an accuracy of 73.5%, specificity of 91.4%, sensitivity of 64.7%, and PPV of 87.0% to correctly stratify segments to AF-HF. Considering the majority vote of the segments of each patient, 10/12 patients (83.33%) were correctly classified. Conclusion: Beat-to-beat-analysis using a machine learning classifier identifies patients with AF-induced heart failure with clinically relevant diagnostic properties. Application of this algorithm in routine care may improve early identification of patients at risk for AF-induced cardiomyopathy and improve the yield of targeted clinical follow-up.

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Cite This Study

Luongo et al. (2022) conducted an observational in Atrial Fibrillation-Induced Heart Failure (n=52). Machine learning algorithm (decision tree classifier) using single-lead ECG vs. Control group (AF patients without heart failure) was evaluated on Accuracy of the algorithm to identify AF-HF patients from 5-min Holter ECG segments recorded during daytime. A machine learning algorithm using three beat-to-beat features from a single-lead ECG identified patients with atrial fibrillation-induced heart failure with an accuracy of 73.5%.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a154241b03a896dfa82022ehttps://doi.org/10.3389/fcvm.2022.812719
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