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May 27, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Bond Stabilisation Fund (BSF) in Indonesia: Lessons Learned and Its Precautionary Measures

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LJLoso Judijanto

Key Points

  • The aim is to evaluate the proposed Bond Stabilisation Fund (BSF) in Indonesia using international evidence to understand its viability and potential risks.
  • Conducted a qualitative literature review synthesizing academic studies and policy reports from 2020 to 2026.
  • Identified practical design issues, historical precedents, and theoretical rationales of BSFs.
  • Analyzed case studies from Thailand and Korea to assess the effectiveness of different BSF designs.
  • BSFs can reduce short-term yield spikes but risk market distortion and moral hazard.
  • Strict eligibility criteria and activation triggers are crucial for effective operation.
  • A well-capitalized BSF should be used only in severe market stress to avoid fiscal irresponsibility.

Abstract

Abstract : We conduct a qualitative literature review on Indonesia’s proposed Bond Stabilisation Fund (BSF), synthesising international evidence to assess its viability and risks. The BSF is intended as a liquidity backstop to protect government bond markets from volatility. Our review draws on academic studies and policy reports (2020–2026) to identify theoretical rationales, practical design issues, and historical precedents. We find that while BSFs can reduce short-term yield spikes, they carry significant risks of market distortion and moral hazard. For example, interventions may undercut price signals and encourage excessive borrowing. Crucially, the effectiveness of a BSF depends on precautionary design: activation triggers tied to acute crises, punitive pricing to discourage casual use, strict eligibility (e.g. viability tests, no payouts) and clear exit strategies. Case studies (Thailand’s unused BSF, Korea’s reactivated fund) illustrate that overly restrictive conditions can render a BSF ineffective, whereas too lax policies invite abuse. Our key recommendation is that Indonesia should treat the BSF as a true last-resort tool: it should be well-capitalised but only deployed under severe market stress, with legislative guardrails to limit size and duration. Under these guidelines, a BSF can enhance debt-market stability without creating permanent fiscal risks or encouraging irresponsibility.

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Cite This Study

Loso Judijanto (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a168a4b0c924ddd1bd58fa4https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20374350
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