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December 6, 2018Theoretical and Applied Climatology44 citationsOpen Access

Characterising droughts in Central America with uncertain hydro-meteorological data

BQBeatriz Quesada‐MontanoFWFredrik WetterhallIWIda Westerberg

Key Points

  • This study aims to identify the most effective combinations of drought indices and meteorological datasets to characterize droughts in Central America.
  • Evaluated multiple drought indices: SPI, DI, SPEI, and EDI using different meteorological datasets.
  • Compared precipitation datasets, including CHIRPS and CRU, to assess their performance in capturing regional climate features.
  • Analyzed the performance of drought indices against a river discharge-based drought index.
  • The choice of meteorological dataset significantly influenced drought characterisation, more so than the selection of the drought index.
  • The best combinations for drought assessment were EDI and DI calculated with CHIRPS and CRN073.
  • SPEI was highlighted as an important index for drought assessment in Central America.

Abstract

Central America is frequently affected by droughts that cause significant socio-economic and environmental problems. Drought characterisation, monitoring and forecasting are potentially useful to support water resource management. Drought indices are designed for these purposes, but their ability to characterise droughts depends on the characteristics of the regional climate and the quality of the available data. Local comprehensive and high-quality observational networks of meteorological and hydrological data are not available, which limits the choice of drought indices and makes it important to assess available datasets. This study evaluated which combinations of drought index and meteorological dataset were most suitable for characterising droughts in the region. We evaluated the standardised precipitation index (SPI), a modified version of the deciles index (DI), the standardised precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) and the effective drought index (EDI). These were calculated using precipitation data from the Climate Hazards Group Infra-Red Precipitation with Station (CHIRPS), the CRN073 dataset, the Climate Research Unit (CRU), ECMWF Reanalysis (ERA-Interim) and a regional station dataset, and temperature from the CRU and ERA-Interim datasets. The gridded meteorological precipitation datasets were compared to assess how well they captured key features of the regional climate. The performance of all the drought indices calculated with all the meteorological datasets was then evaluated against a drought index calculated using river discharge data. Results showed that the selection of database was more important than the selection of drought index and that the best combinations were the EDI and DI calculated with CHIRPS and CRN073. Results also highlighted the importance of including indices like SPEI for drought assessment in Central America.

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Cite This Study

Quesada‐Montano et al. (2018) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1869693ad5dee7381ec7echttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-018-2730-z
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