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May 31, 2026PROMET - Traffic&Transportation0 citationsOpen Access

A Multi-Level Dynamic GCN-Transformer Framework with Spatio-Temporal Interaction for Traffic Flow Prediction

GLGuan LIANCHCaihua HUANGQSQi SUN

Key Points

  • The aim is to improve traffic flow prediction accuracy over varying time frames by addressing spatio-temporal complexities.
  • Proposed a dual-stream architecture combining dynamic graph convolutional network and transformer for modelling.
  • Implemented a spatio-temporal gated fusion mechanism for deeper integration of spatial and temporal data.
  • Conducted experiments using three real-world traffic datasets: PeMSD4, PeMSD7, and PeMSD8.
  • DGTFormer outperformed baseline models, achieving improvements of 8.61% in RMSE and 9.15% in MAE.
  • The coefficient of determination (R²) remained above 0.9 across different prediction time steps.
  • Validation confirms DGTFormer’s superior predictive performance and generalization capabilities.

Abstract

As a core task of intelligent transportation systems, traffic flow prediction is characterised by high spatio-temporal complexity. Due to the limitations of existing methods in modelling complex spatio-temporal dependencies, particularly regarding medium- to long-term prediction accuracy and generalisation capabilities, this paper proposes a combination prediction model based on a multi-level dynamic GCN-Transformer framework (DGTFormer), to enhance the accuracy of short- and long-term traffic flow predictions. DGTFormer adopts a dual-stream architecture to achieve spatio-temporal decoupling modelling. The spatio-temporal dynamic graph convolutional network processes dynamic changes in the road network structure, and the temporal transformer encoder processes temporal information related to traffic flow. A spatio-temporal gated fusion mechanism is introduced to deeply couple spatial and temporal information. Experimental results on three real-world traffic datasets (PeMSD4, PeMSD7 and PeMSD8) demonstrate that DGTFormer significantly outperforms mainstream baseline models on multiple key evaluation metrics. Compared with advanced baseline methods, DGTFormer achieves performance improvements of up to 8.61% and 9.15% in RMSE and MAE, respectively. Furthermore, the coefficient of determination, R², remains stable at an excellent level above 0.9 across different prediction time steps, which fully validates that the DGTFormer model possesses superior predictive performance and generalisation capabilities.

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Cite This Study

LIAN et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1bcf125783ba022b6fb4e2https://doi.org/10.7307/ptt.v38i5.1300
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