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May 31, 2026Journal of Public Economics0 citationsOpen Access

The (fiscal) dividend of infrastructure: Roads and revenues in Rwanda

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AMAbdou MusoneraANAimable NsabimanaDODaniel Overbeck

Key Points

  • The aim is to examine how infrastructure investments, specifically road upgrades, affect local tax revenues in Rwanda.
  • Analyzed a novel dataset combining road upgrade locations and timing with 12 years of tax and census records.
  • Estimated tax revenue increases in municipalities due to road upgrades.
  • Assessed the impact of firm entry and land value appreciation on local tax outcomes.
  • Significant increase in tax revenues in municipalities near upgraded roads, driven by firm entry and land value appreciation.
  • Local municipalities' revenues more than double within five years of the road upgrades.
  • Additional revenues do not fully recover the central government's initial investment.

Abstract

This paper shows that infrastructure investments enhance local tax outcomes. Drawing on a novel dataset combining information on the location and timing of all road upgrades in Rwanda with 12 years of administrative tax and census records, we estimate large and significant increases in tax revenues in municipalities near upgraded roads. These effects are driven by firm entry as well as land value appreciation, captured through taxes on rental income at the local level. Finally, we show that while the additional revenues do not fully recover the central government’s initial investment, local municipalities’ revenues more than double within five years following the upgrades.

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Cite This Study

Musonera et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1bcfb05783ba022b6fbb7ehttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2026.105676
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  1. 1Crowding In or Crowding Out? Disaggregated Fiscal Policy and Private Investment in Post-Conflict Rwanda2026
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