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May 31, 2026Kidney International Reports0 citationsOpen Access

Target Trial of GLP-1s versus DPP-4s and Mortality in Hemodialysis

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DLDustin LeMKMark KilpatrickWKWalter K. Kraft

Key Points

  • This study aims to compare the effectiveness of GLP-1 agonists and DPP-4 inhibitors on mortality rates in patients undergoing hemodialysis.
  • Emulated a target trial using US Renal Data System and Medicare claims data from 2011-2021.
  • Compared outcomes in new users of GLP-1s versus DPP-4s, with a follow-up of 1.5 years on average.
  • Employed inverse probability of treatment weighting and Cox proportional hazards models for analysis.
  • In intention-to-treat analysis, all-cause mortality HR for GLP-1s was 0.98 (95% CI: 0.89 – 1.07).
  • Per-protocol analysis indicated all-cause mortality HR for GLP-1s was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.68 – 0.96).
  • 1-year cumulative incidence of medication discontinuation was 53% for GLP-1s vs. 42% for DPP-4s.

Abstract

Introduction The comparative effectiveness of glucagon-like peptide-1 agonists (GLP-1s) versus dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4s) in hemodialysis is unknown. Methods Using 2011-2021 US Renal Data System and Medicare claims data, we emulated a target trial comparing new users of GLP-1s versus DPP-4s with patients who survived ≥90 days on in-center hemodialysis before medication initiation. We used inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) and Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs). Results We identified 3,671 GLP-1 and 12,039 DPP-4 users. After IPTW, mean age was 63 years, 52% male, 63% White, and mean body mass index was 31 kg/m2. The median (interquartile interval) follow-up was 1.5 (0.6 – 2.9) years. In intention-to-treat analysis, the all-cause mortality HR for GLP-1s (vs DPP-4s) was 0.98 (95% CI: 0.89 – 1.07); cardiovascular mortality HR was 1.06 (95% CI: 0.92 – 1.23); infection mortality HR 0.83 (95% CI: 0.54 – 1.26). In per-protocol analysis with censoring at medication discontinuation, the all-cause mortality HR was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.68 – 0.96), and the 1-year cumulative incidence of discontinuation was 53% for GLP-1s vs 42% for DPP-4s. The cardiovascular mortality HR was 0.89 (95% CI: 0.69 – 1.13); infection mortality HR 0.65 (95% CI: 0.37 – 1.14). Finally, the gastrointestinal symptom HR was 1.11 (95% CI: 1.02 – 1.20). Conclusion GLP-1 (vs DPP-4) initiation was not associated with reduced mortality in intention-to-treat analysis, but continuous use was associated with improved survival. The therapeutic potential of GLP-1s among patients receiving hemodialysis may be limited by medication discontinuation.

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Cite This Study

Le et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1bd0155783ba022b6fbf08https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ekir.2026.106618
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