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June 1, 20260 citationsOpen Access

The Baran Civilization Scale

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ABAbdullah Baran

Key Points

  • The aim is to provide a comprehensive framework for quantifying the advancement of civilizations through specific axes of measurement.
  • Developed a multi-axis framework including the Baran Scale for crewed travel and the Kardashev Scale for power consumption.
  • Introduced additional axes: knowledge of stellar systems, permanence in off-world settlements, communication, and longevity of spacefaring capability.
  • Applied the framework to humanity's current status in 2026, calculating an overall composite score.
  • Humanity scored approximately M ≈ 1.25, with notable strengths in knowledge (S_knowledge ≈ 3.7) but zero crewed reach beyond Earth orbit and zero permanent off-world presence (S_permanence = 0).
  • The primary Baran Scale and Kardashev Scale scores indicated severe limitations in civilizational advancement due to lack of off-world capabilities.

Abstract

A Logarithmic, Multi-Axis Framework for Quantifying Civilizational Advancement This paper proposes the Baran Civilization Scale, a modular and extensible framework for measuring the advancement of a civilization. The primary axis, the Baran Scale, is defined as SB = log10 (1 + d), where d is the farthest distance reached by a crewed vehicle in light-years. The key distinction from existing frameworks is that only human-crewed travel counts; robots, probes, and signals are excluded. A civilization that has never left its planet scores exactly zero. The Kardashev Scale is incorporated as a second axis using Sagan's continuous formulation K = (log10 (P) - 6) / 10, where P is power consumption in Watts. Four additional theoretical axes are proposed: knowledge (stellar systems studied), permanence (self-sustaining off-world settlements), communication (active two-way range), and longevity (years of spacefaring capability). Since every axis is expressed as a dimensionless logarithmic quantity, they are directly summable. The composite score is their arithmetic mean: M = (1/n). sum (Sᵢ). This is mathematically equivalent to the logarithm of the geometric mean of the raw scale values, meaning a low score on any single axis suppresses the total and cannot be fully compensated by excellence elsewhere. Applied to humanity in 2026: SB ≈ 0 (Moon, 1972), SK ≈ 0. 73, Sₖnowledge ≈ 3. 7, Sₚermanence = 0, Sₗongevity ≈ 1. 8, giving M ≈ 1. 25. Humanity scores well on knowledge but is severely held back by zero crewed reach beyond Earth orbit and zero permanent off-world presence. The framework is compared against fictional civilizations (Yautja, Vulcans, Klingons, the Culture, the Federation) as illustrative benchmarks. Keywords: civilization scale, Kardashev scale, SETI, astrosociology, fermi paradox, space colonization, logarithmic scale

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Cite This Study

Abdullah Baran (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1d22f702fbce9130638b24https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20456893
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