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June 3, 20260 citationsOpen Access

The Game of Throne: Analysis of North Korea's Next Transition of Leadership and Foreign Policy

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YKYong Jin Kim

Key Points

  • This research aims to analyze the complex dynamics of North Korea's leadership succession using game theory.
  • Utilizes game theory to evaluate characteristics and strategies of influential players.
  • Simulates North Korea's succession dynamics and evaluates roles of key figures such as Kim Ju-Ae.
  • Identifies significant variables affecting leadership outcomes and foreign policy implications.
  • Identifies the critical role of praetorians in influencing succession outcomes.
  • Discusses potential shifts in DPRK's foreign policy depending on new leadership dynamics.
  • Highlights limitations due to missing variables impacting the analysis.

Abstract

North Korea, also known as the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK), has been at the center of attention in international affairs on various topics in the last decade. One of which was the recent exposure of the current supreme leader's daughter, Kim Ju-Ae, who many expect to be the next heir of the Kim dynasty. Nonetheless, the reality of succession is complex, and various factors can play a role in altering the winner of the game. This research uses game theory to analyze the characteristics of players, preferences of strategies, variance in interactions, and the consequencing payoffs to simulate North Korea's next succession of power. Specifically, this research highlights the significance of praetorians, or Kim's security-intelligence guards, in determining the next winner of the throne. Further, this paper discusses how the new female leader will influence the DPRK's foreign policy, and denotes alternative variables that were not included in this research due to limited information.

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Cite This Study

Yong Jin Kim (2024) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1fc530dee9eb8c0dce6963https://doi.org/10.6082/baa0c-2f452
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