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June 3, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Judicial Partisan Loyalty: A Novel Measure of Judicial Behavior and the Senate's Role in Moderating It

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OSOllie Saleh

Key Points

  • This paper investigates whether Senate support during confirmation predicts the level of partisan loyalty among justices.
  • Introduces the Partisan Loyalty Score to measure justices' partisan loyalty since 1937.
  • Analyzes the relationship between Senate support (percentage of 'yes' votes) and partisan loyalty.
  • Uses empirical methods to assess the predictive capability of Senate support on judicial behavior.
  • Findings suggest a correlation between higher Senate support and lower partisan loyalty.
  • Quantitative analysis shows significance in the relationship (details of metrics not provided).
  • The study highlights the Senate's potential role as a moderating force against partisan bias in judicial decisions.

Abstract

This paper attempts to understand whether the Senate has lived up to the framers' expectations by asking a fairly simple question: is a justice's level of support from the Senate during their confirmation predictive of that justice's level of partisan loyalty on the bench? In other words, does the Senate act as an effective screening mechanism against partisan judges? This paper introduces the Partisan Loyalty Score, a precise measurement and index of partisan loyalty for nearly every Supreme Court justice since 1937. This score serves as the dependent variable in this paper's empirical analyses. Senate support during the confirmation process (the percentage of "yes" votes a justice receives) serves as the independent variable.

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Cite This Study

Ollie Saleh (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1fc76ddee9eb8c0dce844ehttps://doi.org/10.6082/c5af3-j7x59
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