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June 4, 2026Learning and Instruction0 citationsOpen Access

COVID-19: A cross-national analysis with PISA data

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GPGiang PhamFLFranziska Maria LocherDKDimitra Kolovou

Key Points

  • This study aims to explore the influence of teaching conditions during COVID-19 on student performance and socio-economic gaps across countries.
  • Data from four PISA cycles (2012, 2015, 2018, 2022) across 47 countries was used.
  • K-means clustering identified country subgroups based on teaching and learning conditions.
  • Double-selection Lasso linear regression analyzed changes in student performance and socio-economic gaps.
  • Three teaching clusters were identified: Family-Supported Asynchronous Instruction, Accentuated Teacher-Led Synchronous Instruction, and Accentuated Instructional Disruption.
  • Countries in Cluster 2 demonstrated higher post-pandemic performance, while socio-economic gaps increased in Clusters 2 and 3.
  • Teaching conditions alone could not explain differences in socio-economic performance gaps.

Abstract

Background Evidence on the relationship between teaching and learning conditions during the COVID-19 pandemic, student performance, and resulting inequalities remains scarce, especially across different countries and education systems. Aims This study investigates whether there are subgroups of countries with similar pandemic-era teaching and learning conditions (RQ1), and whether these conditions help explain changes in student performance (RQ2) and socio-economic performance gaps before and after the pandemic (RQ3), controlling for containment policies and socio-economic status. Sample Data from four PISA cycles (2012, 2015, 2018, 2022) across 47 countries, combined with pandemic policy indicators, were analysed. Methods K -means clustering with silhouette validation was used for RQ1, and double-selection Lasso linear regression for RQ2 and RQ3 to address small sample sizes and predictor intercorrelations. Data were analysed at the country level. Results Three clusters emerged: (1) F amily- Supported Asynchronous Instruction , (2) Accentuated Teacher-Led Synchronous Instruction and (3) Accentuated Instructional Disruption . Countries in Cluster 2 showed higher post-pandemic performance, while the socio-economic gap widened more in Clusters 2 and 3. Differences in socio-economic performance gaps could not be explained by teaching and learning conditions. Conclusions Results demonstrate that favourable socio-economic conditions enabled highly developed countries to implement modern pedagogical approaches and digital technologies in education. The positive outcomes observed in countries within Cluster 2 ( Accentuated Teacher-Led Synchronous Instruction ) suggest that regular teacher-student contact and consistent monitoring of learning played an important role.

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Cite This Study

Pham et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a2115bdd499ed480b16eb3ehttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.learninstruc.2026.102366
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