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June 4, 2026Electronics0 citationsOpen Access

Cognitive Biases in Large Language Models: A Systematic Quantitative Assessment and Debiasing Analysis

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APA. Pagliaro

Key Points

  • This work aims to quantitatively measure cognitive biases in large language models using a systematic experimental framework.
  • Introduced the Bias Strength Index for bias quantification.
  • Evaluated eleven cognitive biases across eight state-of-the-art LLMs with N=100 independent trials per configuration.
  • Employed a Generalized Linear Mixed-Effects Model analysis to assess bias effects across testable bias-model combinations.
  • Statistically significant bias effects were observed in 27 of 43 combinations, with 62.8% showing multi-comparison significance.
  • Framing and primacy/recency effects were universally present across models, while other biases varied significantly.
  • Three debiasing strategies showed different effectiveness depending on the bias type.

Abstract

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in decision-support systems across high-stakes domains, yet their susceptibility to cognitive biases—systematic deviations from rational judgment well-documented in human psychology—remains poorly understood in quantitative terms. Existing studies typically examine a narrow set of biases, test a single model family, and rely on qualitative assessments of bias presence. In this work, we present a rigorous experimental framework, inspired by the methodology of experimental physics, for the systematic quantitative measurement of cognitive biases in LLMs. We introduce the Bias Strength Index (BSI), a normalized metric with associated confidence intervals that quantifies the magnitude of bias on a continuous scale, and we decompose the total uncertainty into statistical and systematic components—the latter arising from prompt reformulation. We evaluate a comprehensive taxonomy of eleven cognitive biases (including anchoring, framing effect, confirmation bias, availability heuristic, sunk cost fallacy, bandwagon effect, status quo bias, and others) across eight state-of-the-art LLMs from seven families: GPT-4.1 Mini, Claude 3.5 Sonnet, Gemini 2.5 Flash, Llama 3.3 70B, Llama 3.1 8B, Mistral Large (mistral-large-2411), DeepSeek V3, and MiniMax M2.5. Each bias is probed through multiple semantically equivalent prompt variants, with N = 100 independent trials per configuration, yielding a dataset of over 70,000 model responses. Our results reveal that all tested models exhibit non-zero bias effects for multiple bias categories, though with markedly different profiles. A trial-level Generalized Linear Mixed-Effects Model (GLMM) analysis finds statistically significant bias effects in 27 of 43 testable bias–model combinations (62.8%) after multiple-comparison correction, while a more conservative variant-level test—which requires effects to generalize across prompt formulations—yields only one significant result, highlighting the dominant role of prompt-induced systematic uncertainty. Framing and primacy/recency effects are near-universal, while susceptibility to other biases varies substantially across model families. We further evaluate three debiasing strategies—zero-shot chain-of-thought, adversarial counter-prompting, and role-based prompting—applied at inference time without modifying model weights. Our findings provide a quantitative foundation for auditing cognitive biases in LLMs and highlight the bias-dependent effectiveness of prompt-based debiasing techniques.

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Cite This Study

A. Pagliaro (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a2115d7d499ed480b16eddchttps://doi.org/10.3390/electronics15112428
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