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June 12, 2026Abacus0 citations

Shaping Firms’ Systemic Risk: The Role of Future Time Reference Language

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KHKung‐Cheng HoSLS J LeeCYChao Yuan

Key Points

  • This research aims to examine how future time reference language influences firms’ systemic risk across different countries.
  • Analyzed data from 41 countries spanning 1985–2018
  • Measured systemic risk using Basel II/III ARIB framework
  • Utilized instrumental variables and GMM to address endogeneity concerns.
  • Strong future time reference language is associated with reduced systemic risk.
  • The interaction of formal and informal institutions influences the effect of FTR language on systemic risk.
  • Robustness checks confirm the findings across various econometric specifications.

Abstract

Identifying the determinants of systemic risk contributes to global financial stability. However, the role of language in such risk remains underexplored. This study investigates how a future time reference (FTR) language shapes firms’ systemic risk, measured by the Basel II/III ARIB (advanced internal rating approach) framework, in 41 countries and areas spanning the period 1985–2018. The empirical results reveal that strong FTR language reduces systemic risk. The results are robust when controlling for endogeneity concerns with instrumental variables, generalized method of moments (GMM), and high‐dimensional fixed effects, as well as when eliminating concerns related to enormous economies and financial firms. Furthermore, we investigate how formal and informal institutions interact with the FTR language on firms’ systemic risk. The empirical results indicate that well‐developed formal and informal institutions that mitigate adverse selection and moral hazard issues also mitigate the negative role of FTR language in their systemic risk. This study contributes to the literature by exploring whether linguistic ambiguity amplifies firms’ systemic risk and improves systemic risk management across regions with heterogeneous formal and informal institutions.

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Cite This Study

Ho et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a2ba2448101cf8926f013c7https://doi.org/10.1111/abac.70042
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