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June 14, 2026AI0 citationsOpen Access

ST-MAFNet: Spatio-Temporal Multi-Scale Adaptive Fusion Network for Traffic Forecasting

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FGFeng GuoXWX. WangFZFumin Zou

Key Points

  • The aim is to improve traffic flow prediction accuracy in Intelligent Transportation Systems by addressing limitations in current spatio-temporal models.
  • Developed ST-MAFNet which includes CSHA for short-term predictions using multi-scale patterns.
  • Implemented DSPM for understanding node relationships through graph attention.
  • Utilized STAFM to integrate temporal and spatial data for enhanced forecasting.
  • ST-MAFNet achieves a 2.95% reduction in MAE on PEMS03, with an MAE of 7.97 compared to the previous best.
  • On PEMS04, it reduces MAE by 1.43% with an MAE of 6.64; on PEMS07, by 1.25% with an MAE of 8.79; and on PEMS08, by 0.37% with an MAE of 6.75.
  • Overall, ST-MAFNet shows top-tier performance metrics across multiple evaluations.

Abstract

Accurate traffic flow prediction is fundamental to Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSs), critical for transportation management and logistics. Despite advances in spatio-temporal prediction methods, existing approaches suffer from two key limitations: (i) multi-scale fusion methods inadequately capture hierarchical constraints between cross-scale features, and (ii) models rely on single spatio-temporal views, neglecting multi-source relationship complementarity. To address these issues, we propose ST-MAFNet, a spatio-temporal multi-scale adaptive fusion network comprising three key components, specifically, a Cross-Scale Hierarchical Anchoring strategy (CSHA) that anchors short-term predictions with multi-scale temporal patterns to mitigate noise; a Dual Spatial Perception Module (DSPM) that learns node heterogeneity and dynamic correlations through node embeddings and adaptive graph attention; and a Spatio-Temporal Adaptive Fusion Module (STAFM) that captures time-varying connectivity by integrating multi-scale temporal features with multi-source spatial relationships. Experiments on four real-world datasets demonstrate that ST-MAFNet is particularly effective for short-term traffic forecasting. Compared with the best previously reported MAE results, ST-MAFNet reduces MAE by 2.95%, 1.43%, 1.25%, and 0.37% on PEMS03, PEMS04, PEMS07, and PEMS08, respectively, and achieves the best or second-best performance on most evaluation metrics.

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Cite This Study

Guo et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a2e4753b1cc60ccdea8beb3https://doi.org/10.3390/ai7060217
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