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June 19, 2026SAGE Open Medicine0 citationsOpen Access

Time to death and its predictors among adults on mechanical ventilation at Hiwot Fana comprehensive specialized hospital, eastern Ethiopia: A retrospective cohort study

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RERahma EsmaelBABehailu Hawulte AyeleAWAdisu Birhanu Weldesenbet

Key Points

  • This study aims to evaluate the time to death and identify its predictors in adult patients on mechanical ventilation in Ethiopia.
  • Retrospective cohort study of 586 adults on mechanical ventilation at Hiwot Fana Hospital.
  • Data collected through structured checklists and analyzed using Cox proportional hazards model.
  • Conducted time to event analysis and assessed proportional hazard assumptions.
  • Mortality incidence density was 6.74 per 100 person-days (95% CI: 5.92-7.68).
  • Higher hazards of death noted with platelet counts <150,000 (AHR=1.74, 95% CI: 1.26–2.40) and cardiovascular failure (AHR=1.62, 95% CI: 1.08–2.43).
  • Gastrostomy associated with lower hazard of death (AHR=0.35, 95% CI: 0.18-0.68).

Abstract

Introduction Mechanical ventilation is an essential lifesaving intervention for patients with severe illness. Mortality among patients receiving mechanical ventilation is high in low-resource settings, including Ethiopia. Evidence on predictors of time to death in such settings is limited. Therefore, this study aimed to assess time to death and its predictors among adult patients receiving mechanical ventilation in intensive care unit at Hiwot Fana comprehensive specialized Hospital, Eastern Ethiopia. Method An institution-based retrospective cohort study was conducted among 586 mechanically ventilated adult patients. Data were collected using structured checklist. Time to event analysis was performed using cox proportional hazards model to identify predictors of time to death. The proportional hazard assumption was assessed using schoenfeld residuals. Adjusted hazard ratios with 95% confidence interval were used to quantify associations. Results The incidence density of mortality was 6.74 per 100 person-days observations (95% CI: 5.92-7.68). Factors associated with a higher hazards of death included platelet count less than 150,000*10 6 /L (Adjusted Hazard Ratio (AHR)=1.74, 95% CI: 1.26–2.40), cardiovascular failure during mechanical ventilation (AHR=1.62, 95% CI: 1.08–2.43), cardiopulmonary resuscitation (AHR=2.36, 95% CI: 1.71–3.31), vasopressor use (AHR=2.94, 95% CI: 2.02–4.27), and higher fraction of inspired oxygen at initiation of mechanical ventilation (AHR=1.01, 95% CI: 1.007-1.019) had higher risk of death. Gastrostomy was associated wit lower hazard of death (AHR=0.35, 95% CI: 0.18-0.68). Conclusion Several clinical and treatment related factors were associated with time to death among mechanically ventilated Intensive Care Unit (ICU) patients. Close monitoring and appropriate management of high risk patients are essential needed.

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Cite This Study

Esmael et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a34df2365a5b0777af2e5c2https://doi.org/10.1177/20503121261460591
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