The echocardiographic ratio tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion/pulmonary arterial systolic pressure predicts short-term adverse outcomes in acute pulmonary embolism

AIMS: Right ventricular (RV) failure causes death from acute pulmonary embolism (PE), due to a mismatch between RV systolic function and increased RV afterload. We hypothesized that an echocardiographic ratio of this mismatch RV systolic function by tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) divided by pulmonary arterial systolic pressure (PASP) would predict adverse outcomes better than each measurement individually, and would be useful for risk stratification in intermediate-risk PE. METHODS AND RESULTS: This was a retrospective analysis of a single academic centre Pulmonary Embolism Response Team registry from 2012 to 2019. All patients with confirmed PE and a formal transthoracic echocardiogram performed within 2 days were included. All echocardiograms were analysed by an observer blinded to the outcome. The primary endpoint was a 7-day composite outcome of death or haemodynamic deterioration. Secondary outcomes were 7- and 30-day all-cause mortality. A total of 627 patients were included; 135 met the primary composite outcome. In univariate analysis, the TAPSE/PASP was associated with our primary outcome odds ratio = 0.028, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.010-0.087; P < 0.0001, which was significantly better than either TAPSE or PASP alone (P = 0.017 and P < 0.0001, respectively). A TAPSE/PASP cut-off value of 0.4 was identified as the optimal value for predicting adverse outcome in PE. TAPSE/PASP predicted both 7- and 30-day all-cause mortality, while TAPSE and PASP did not. CONCLUSION: A combined echocardiographic ratio of RV function to afterload is superior in prediction of adverse outcome in acute intermediate-risk PE. This ratio may improve risk stratification and identification of the patients that will suffer short-term deterioration after intermediate-risk PE.