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July 10, 2026Zeitschrift für Außen- und Sicherheitspolitik0 citationsOpen Access

The Deterrence Illusion: A Comparative Analysis of European and Global Asylum Externalization Agreements

JKJudith Kohlenberger

Key Points

  • This article investigates the impact of asylum externalization agreements on irregular migration and examines their effectiveness.
  • Analysis of outsourcing agreements related to irregular migration.
  • Comparison of current and proposed policies at national and European levels.
  • Evaluation of the empirical evidence regarding the demotivating effects of these agreements.
  • Externalization agreements do not effectively deter irregular migration as claimed.
  • Fundamental migration dynamics are often misjudged in these agreements.
  • The actual 'demotivating' effects remain empirically unsubstantiated.

Abstract

Abstract This article examines outsourcing agreements and their impact on irregular migration and compares them with current plans under discussion at both the national and European level, such as return hubs for the repatriation of rejected asylum seekers to third countries. It argues that the “demotivating” effect of such externalization agreements has yet to be empirically substantiated, as these deals misjudge fundamental migration dynamics.

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Cite This Study

Judith Kohlenberger (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a508f236eeac72a437a17e7https://doi.org/10.1007/s12399-026-01105-5
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