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October 17, 1990JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute265 citations

Increasing Annual Incidence of Primary Malignant Brain Tumors in the Elderly

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NGNigel H. GriegLRLynn G. RiesRYRosemary Yancik

Key Points

  • To analyze trends in the annual incidence of primary malignant brain tumors among the elderly over a period of time.
  • Analysis of age-specific incidence rates for primary malignant brain tumors from 1973 to 1985
  • Data collected from the United States across all races and genders
  • Reported rates for different age groups were compared between 1973/1974 and 1985
  • Incidence rates for those aged 75-79, 80-84, and 85+ increased to 187%, 394%, and 501% of 1973/1974 rates, respectively.
  • Average annual percentage changes were +7.0%, +20.4%, and +23.4% for these age ranges.
  • The primary histologic types in the elderly were glioblastoma multiforme and astrocytoma, known to be highly malignant.

Abstract

Between 1973 and 1985, total age-adjusted cancer incidence in the United States (all races, men and women) rose by 10.7%, with an average annual percentage change of +0.9%. Analysis of reported age-specific incidence of primary malignant brain tumors over the same years demonstrates that incidence rates increased dramatically between 1973/1974 and 1985. In 1985, incidence rates for persons aged 75-79, 80-84, and 85 years of age and over were 187%, 394%, and 501%, respectively, of rates in 1973/1974. Similar increases were found in both men and women, analyzed separately and combined. Average annual percentage changes in primary brain tumor incidence were +7.0%, +20.4%, and +23.4% in these age ranges, respectively. Reported incidence in younger persons varied little over the same period of time. The most common histologic type of primary brain tumor in the elderly was of glial origin, predominantly the glioblastoma multiforme and astrocytoma. These tumors are highly malignant and invariably fatal. Two possible causes may explain the increased incidence in the elderly: the introduction and extensive use of x-ray computed tomography since 1973 and/or a true increase in incidence occurring independently of diagnostic advances.

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Cite This Study

Grieg et al. (1990) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a6f328575498292b70898cfhttps://doi.org/10.1093/jnci/82.20.1621
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