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August 4, 2026Journal of Healthcare Informatics Research1 citationsOpen Access

Uncertainty Quantification in Machine Learning for Biosignal Applications - A Review

IJIvo Pascal de JongASAndreea Ioana SburleaMVMatías Valdenegro-Toro

Key Result

Uncertainty quantification methods for biosignal machine learning are promising, but further research is needed on how people and systems interact with uncertainty models in clinical environments.

Key Points

  • This review aims to explore the application of uncertainty quantification (UQ) in machine learning specifically for biosignal analysis.
  • Systematic review of 53 papers from databases including Web of Science and IEEE Xplore.
  • Evaluation of various methods, shortcomings, and uncertainty measures in UQ related to biosignals.
  • Discussion of gaps in literature and recommendations for future research directions.
  • Identified promising UQ methods for improving interpretability in biosignal tasks.
  • Highlighted the need for more research on human-system interactions with uncertainty models in clinical environments.
  • Addressed misconceptions in the field regarding the application of UQ in diagnostic tasks and assistive technologies.

Study Design

Type

Systematic Review (n=53)

Structured PICO

P
Population
53 reviewed papers discussing uncertainty quantification in machine learning for biosignal applications.
I
Intervention
Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) methods in Machine Learning
O
Outcome
Current methods, use cases, applications, evaluations, and uncertainty measures for UQ in biosignal tasks

While promising uncertainty quantification methods exist for machine learning in biosignals, further research is needed on human-system interaction in clinical environments.

Limitations

  • Current methods cannot adequately quantify aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty separately in classification.
  • Interactions exist between aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in classification.

Abstract

Abstract Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) has gained traction in an attempt to improve the interpretability and robustness of machine learning predictions. Specifically (medical) biosignals such as electroencephalography (EEG), electrocardiography (ECG), electrooculography (EOG), and electromyography (EMG) could benefit from good UQ, since these suffer from a poor signal-to-noise ratio, and good human interpretability is pivotal for medical applications. To determine how uncertainty estimation can be used for biosignal tasks, we investigate current methods, use cases, applications, evaluations, and uncertainty measures. In this paper, we systematically review the state of the art of applying Uncertainty Quantification to Machine Learning tasks in the biosignal domain. All works from Web of Science, Scopus, IEEE XPlore and PsycINFO that discuss uncertainty in Machine Learning on one of the aforementioned biosignals is included. We present various methods, shortcomings, uncertainty measures and theoretical frameworks that currently exist in this application domain based on the 53 reviewed papers and related literature. We address misconceptions in the field, provide recommendations for future work, and discuss gaps in the literature in relation to diagnostic implementations as well as control for prostheses or brain-computer interfaces. Overall it can be concluded that promising UQ methods are available, but that research is needed on how people and systems may interact with an uncertainty-model in a (clinical) environment.

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Cite This Study

Jong et al. (2026) conducted a systematic review in Biosignal applications (EEG, ECG, EOG, EMG) (n=53). Uncertainty Quantification methods vs. Standard Machine Learning models was evaluated. Uncertainty quantification methods for biosignal machine learning are promising, but further research is needed on how people and systems interact with uncertainty models in clinical environments.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a7198eec47350ef8e49439bhttps://doi.org/10.1007/s41666-026-00249-5
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