September 10, 2025Open Access

Geopolitics and dice

Key Points

Conflicts are often presented without depth, leading to trivial interpretations in geopolitical analysis.
Social media has created a circularity that hampers meaningful discourse on future geopolitical scenarios.
Analysts must confront the array of possible futures with a more thoughtful approach, moving beyond platitudes.
The analysis calls for a reevaluation of how analysts discuss conflicts and uncertainties in geopolitics.

Abstract

In a nuanced and thoughtful piece, Philip Zelikow judges: Indeed. And yet, the tendency is for analysts to mix empty platitudes with unearned certainties. Conflict as content, triviality prevails. Faced with a troubling array of possible futures, grimly marching towards November, there is a need to escape social media circularity, and instead move outwards in thought. With that in mind, some points and provocations.

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Authors

Christopher Hobson

Australian National University

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Geopolitics and dice

Key Points

Abstract

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