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This is a Quantitative Study study.

September 16, 2025Open Access

Evangelicals and the Far Right in Brazil: Political Attitudes and Voting Decisions

Key Points

The research shows that evangelicals played a significant role in the electoral success of Jair Bolsonaro during the 2022 presidential elections.
Data indicates that adherence to radical right-wing ideology among evangelicals correlates with their voting behavior for Bolsonaro.
Using logit type estimation, the study explores the impact of evangelical identity on voting decisions, contrasting it with other religious groups.
The findings suggest that the extreme right engaged evangelicals ideologically through their political discourse and moral narratives.

Abstract

This article aims to explain the evangelical vote in the 2022 presidential elections for Jair Bolsonaro, a populist and radical right-wing politician, hypothesizing the adherence of part of this segment to the right by exploring behavioral variables. We conclude by proposing a new exploratory analytical approach: Dominion Theology. Our paper makes use of several surveys, such as the Pesquisa Termômetro da Campanha (IPESPE/ABRAPEL), in order to examine the behavior and voting decision of evangelical through the logit type estimation model, with the vote for Bolsonaro as the dependent and the main variable the evangelical identity (binary, as opposed to all other religions). The result indicates that the extreme right mobilized evangelicals not only electorally, but ideologically, through political proposals and a moral-theological discourse.

Evangelicals and the Far Right in Brazil: Political Attitudes and Voting Decisions

Key Points

Abstract

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