Background Islet β-cell dysfunction is central to the pathophysiology of glucose metabolism disorders. Probiotic supplementation has been shown to benefit glycemic control, but existing evidence on β-cell function remains inconclusive. This meta-analysis investigated the effects of probiotic supplementation on pancreatic islet β-cell function, as assessed by the homeostasis model assessment for β-cell function (HOMA-β), in individuals with impaired glucose metabolism. Methods A systematic search of PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library was conducted. We included randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing probiotics with placebo or no additional treatment in adults with abnormal glucose metabolism. Random-effects meta-analysis was performed, accounting for the potential influence of heterogeneity. Results Twelve RCTs involving 907 participants were included. Compared with controls, probiotic supplementation significantly improved HOMA-β (mean difference MD: 3.04, 95% CI: 0.23 to 5.86; p = 0.03; I 2 = 92%). However, the sensitivity analysis limited to studies with low risk of bias did not show that probiotics have a significant influence on HOMA-β in these participants (MD: -1.31, 95% CI: −6.30 to 3.68, p = 0.61; I 2 = 63%). Subgroup analysis showed a significant benefit in participants with baseline HbA1c ≥ 8.5% (MD: 7.05, 95% CI: 5.85 to 8.24; I 2 = 0%), but not in those with HbA1c 8.5% (MD: 0.19, 95% CI: −1.09 to 1.46; I 2 = 37%; p for subgroup difference 0.001). Meta-regression further confirmed that higher baseline HbA1c was positively associated with greater HOMA-β improvement (coefficient = 2.91; p = 0.04; adjusted R 2 = 62.5%). Other factors, such as mean age, sex, baseline body mass index, HOMA-β, concurrent hypoglycemic treatment, or probiotic treatment duration, did not significantly affect the results. Conclusion Probiotics might enhance islet β-cell function in individuals with glucose metabolism disorders, particularly among those with elevated baseline HbA1c levels. However, large-scale high-quality RCTs are needed to validate our findings. Systematic review registration The protocol of the meta-analysis was registered at PROSPERO with the identifier CRD420251087101.
Xiang et al. (Thu,) studied this question.