Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Techniques and Data Sources for Dead Tree Detection: What Is the Best Way to Go?

In Central Europe, the extent of bark beetle infestation in spruce stands due to prolonged high temperatures and drought has created large areas of dead trees, which are difficult to monitor by ground surveys. Remote sensing is the only possibility for the assessment of the extent of the dead tree areas. Several options exist for mapping individual dead trees, including different sources and different processing techniques. Satellite images, aerial images, and images from UAVs can be used as sources. Machine and deep learning techniques are included in the processing techniques, although models are often presented without proper realistic validation.This paper compares methods of monitoring dead tree areas using three data sources: multispectral aerial imagery, multispectral PlanetScope satellite imagery, and multispectral Sentinel-2 imagery, as well as two processing methods. The classification methods used are Random Forest (RF) and neural network (NN) in two modalities: pixel- and object-based. In total, 12 combinations are presented. The results were evaluated using two types of reference data: accuracy of model on validation data and accuracy on vector-format semi-automatic classification polygons created by a human evaluator, referred to as real Ground Truth. The aerial imagery was found to have the highest model accuracy, with the CNN model achieving up to 98% with object classification. A higher classification accuracy for satellite imagery was achieved by combining pixel classification and the RF model (87% accuracy for Sentinel-2). For PlanetScope Imagery, the best result was 89%, using a combination of CNN and object-based classifications. A comparison with the Ground Truth showed a decrease in the classification accuracy of the aerial imagery to 89% and the classification accuracy of the satellite imagery to around 70%. In conclusion, aerial imagery is the most effective tool for monitoring bark beetle calamity in terms of precision and accuracy, but satellite imagery has the advantage of fast availability and shorter data processing time, together with larger coverage areas.