Bayesian Mapping of Protein Kinases to Vasopressin-Regulated Phosphorylation Sites in Renal Collecting Duct

Vasopressin controls water permeability in the renal collecting duct by regulating the water channel protein, aquaporin-2 (AQP2). Phosphoproteomic studies have identified multiple proteins that undergo phosphorylation changes in response to vasopressin. The kinases responsible for the phosphorylation of most of these sites have not been identified. Here, we use large-scale Bayesian data integration to predict the responsible kinases for 51 phosphoproteomically identified vasopressin-regulated phosphorylation sites in the renal collecting duct. To do this, we applied Bayes' rule to rank the 515 known mammalian protein kinases for each site. Bayes' rule was applied recursively to integrate each of the seven independent datasets, each time using the posterior probability vector of a given step as the prior probability vector of the next step. In total, 30 of the 33 phosphorylation sites that increase with vasopressin were predicted to be phosphorylated by protein kinase A (PKA) catalytic subunit-α, consistent with prior studies implicating PKA in vasopressin signaling. Eighteen of the vasopressin-regulated phosphorylation sites were decreased in response to vasopressin and all but three of these sites were predicted to be targets of extracellular signal-regulated kinases, ERK1 and ERK2. This result implies that ERK1 and ERK2 are inhibited in response to vasopressin V2 receptor occupation, secondary to PKA activation. The six phosphorylation sites not predicted to be phosphorylated by PKA or ERK1/2 are potential targets of other protein kinases previously implicated in aquaporin-2 regulation, including cyclin-dependent kinase 18 (CDK18), calmodulin-dependent kinase 2δ (CAMK2D), AMP-activated kinase catalytic subunit-α-1 (PRKAA1) and CDC42 binding protein kinase β (CDC42BPB).