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Significance President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist Renaissance movement fell slightly to 16.5%. Opinion polls have been consistent for several weeks now, with RN appearing set for its largest-ever EU election win. Impacts The opinion polls suggest that the depleted Socialist Party, currently on around 14.5%, could finish ahead of Renaissance. A far-right victory in early legislative elections would be a major boost to its chances of winning the presidency in 2027. Should the far right win the most seats in early legislative elections, French aid to Ukraine could be blocked or delayed.
A Thu, study studied this question.