Towards A Comprehensive Assessment of AI's Environmental Impact

Artificial Intelligence, machine learning (AI/ML) has allowed exploring solutions for a variety of environmental and climate questions ranging from natural disasters, greenhouse gas emission, monitoring biodiversity, agriculture, to weather and climate modeling, enabling progress towards climate change mitigation. However, the intersection of AI/ML and environment is not always positive. The recent surge of interest in ML, made possible by processing very large volumes of data, fueled by access to massive compute power, has sparked a trend towards large-scale adoption of AI/ML. This interest places tremendous pressure on natural resources, that are often overlooked and under-reported. There is a need for a framework that monitors the environmental impact and degradation from AI/ML throughout its lifecycle for informing policymakers, stakeholders to adequately implement standards and policies and track the policy outcome over time. For these policies to be effective, AI's environmental impact needs to be monitored in a spatially-disaggregated, timely manner across the globe at the key activity sites. This study proposes a methodology to track environmental variables relating to the multifaceted impact of AI around datacenters using openly available energy data and globally acquired satellite observations. We present a case study around Northern Virginia, United States that hosts a growing number of datacenters and observe changes in multiple satellite-based environmental metrics. We then discuss the steps to expand this methodology for comprehensive assessment of AI's environmental impact across the planet. We also identify data gaps and formulate recommendations for improving the understanding and monitoring AI-induced changes to the environment and climate.