Cornered by the U.S.-Israel airstrikes and left vulnerable by a mass uprising in early 2026, the Islamic regime in Iran will go through certain internal changes. These changes might weaken Tehran’s grip over the region. In this backdrop, its relation with neighbours, including India, Pakistan, and Afghanistan, will shift. While India will be hoping for the emergence of a moderate regime that is open to talks with the USA, Pakistan will be hoping for a strong regime in Tehran that can put a hold on Baloch militants. On the other hand, an economically and militarily weaker government in Iran will be more inclined to cooperate with Afghanistan’s Taliban government on various issues, ranging from opium trade to water sharing.
Suyash Dwivedi (Fri,) studied this question.