Outer space has evolved from a frontier of exploration into a theater of strategic competition. While military reliance on orbital systems has deepened, the legal frameworks governing armed conflict beyond Earth remain uncertain. The 1967 Outer Space Treaty prohibits the placement of weapons of mass destruction but is silent on conventional or dual-use military activity, leaving states to interpret “peaceful purposes” according to their strategic interests. This ambiguity has opened a normative gap now partially filled by the Law of Armed Conflict (LOAC). Yet LOAC’s terrestrial doctrines – distinction, proportionality, necessity, and humanity – were not developed with the physics or politics of orbit in mind. Dual-use satellites, cascading debris, attribution challenges, and the opacity of space operations render their application indeterminate and easily manipulated. This paper examines how LOAC principles might be operationalized in the space domain and identifies where doctrinal assumptions collapse under orbital realities. It argues that the absence of technical standards, verification mechanisms, and institutional coordination risks transforming LOAC from a framework of restraint into one of rhetorical compliance. Drawing on emerging initiatives such as the Combined Space Operations Initiative and the EU Space Surveillance and Tracking program, the analysis explores pathways to translate humanitarian norms into actionable practice through transparency, shared data, and standardized operational protocols. Without such adaptation, the law will continue to trail strategy, and the heavens – once imagined as the realm of peace – may become the next venue where silence, not law, defines the limits of war.
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Haley Fuller
Tulane University
Tulane University
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Haley Fuller (Tue,) studied this question.
synapsesocial.com/papers/69ba43d84e9516ffd37a587e — DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19055577
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