Maritime decarbonization has shifted from a long-term aspiration to an engineering and systems-integrated problem under near-term compliance pressure. International regulatory bodies, governments, and a wide array of private-sector coalitions will tighten greenhouse-gas fuel-emission standards from 2028, translating climate targets into enforceable cost signals and accelerating interest in alternative-fuel and retrofit pathways. This review synthesizes the state of the art (SoA) of maritime decarbonization by mapping where technological bottlenecks concentrate along the well-to-wake (WtW) value chain for the main candidate pathways: biofuels, LNG/bio-LNG, hydrogen, ammonia, e-methanol, and electrification, and by benchmarking them side-by-side using a unified framework designed to compare their realizable well-to-wake GHG-reduction potential under maritime operating constraints. Building on that comparative lens, this work aims to connect pathway readiness to the near-term market and regulatory reality, while the alternative-fuel-capable fleet is projected to expand rapidly, creating a structural capability vs. supply gap, in which, for example, ship readiness can outpace low-GHG fuel availability and bunkering rollout. The merged evidence indicates that near-term abatement will be dominated by scalable drop-in biofuels, whereas deep-sea options (ammonia/hydrogen and e-fuels) remain gated by upstream low-GHG production, port infrastructure, and safety/regulatory maturation. Nevertheless, mid-term deployment of low-GHG fuels can act as a system “relief valve”, reducing infrastructure lock-in and accelerating emissions reductions while zero-carbon fuel supply chains scale up.
Renata C.B. Costa (Thu,) studied this question.