Climate change leads to less water in forest ecosystems and higher evapotranspiration during the growing season, increasing the risk of drought. This study evaluates microclimate and soil hydrology at two different sites in the Dobroč Primeval Forest (National Nature Reserve, NATURA 2000): a near-natural fir–beech buffer zone and a managed Norway spruce monoculture. Measurements cover two hydrological years with very different climatic conditions. The Climatic Water Balance (CWB) was used to assess precipitation deficit, and soil moisture dynamics were simulated with the GLOBAL mathematical model. In 2021, precipitation was 223.7 mm below the long-term average, and the cumulative CWB deficit from March to September was 224 mm. Drought risk peaked in summer 2021. The spruce stand’s A/B horizon was 197 days below the point of decreased availability (PDA), compared to 179 days in the beech buffer zone. Drought moved through the soil profile with a 3–4-day lag between horizons at both sites. Results confirm that Norway spruce monocultures are more drought-vulnerable than near-natural beech stands under identical conditions, supporting active forest conversion in Central European mountain regions.
Oravcová et al. (Mon,) studied this question.