C. P. Farrington, N. J. Andrews, A. D. Beale, M. A. Catchpole, A Statistical Algorithm for the Early Detection of Outbreaks of Infectious Disease, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (Statistics in Society), Vol. 159, No. 3 (1996), pp. 547-563

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Farrington et al. (Mon,) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69dfed97915fa0495361522f https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.2307/2983331

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4Methods for Current Statistical Analysis of Excess Pneumonia-Influenza Deaths1963 · 601 citations
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

1The Surveillance of Communicable Diseases of National Importance1963 · 433 citations
2A Monitoring System to Detect Changes in Public Health Surveillance Data1994 · 43 citations
3A TEST FOR DETECTION OF CLUSTERING OVER TIME1980 · 151 citations
4Methods for Current Statistical Analysis of Excess Pneumonia-Influenza Deaths1963 · 601 citations
5SURVEILLANCE OF MALFORMATIONS1976 · 90 citations