Ocean acidification and warming will alter phytoplankton biomass and composition, yet despite numerous studies, there are few consistent responses on which to base predictions. To determine the responses of chlorophyll-a and phytoplankton size and composition to predicted lower pH (−0.33 to −0.5) alone, and also combined with elevated temperature (+2.5–3.5 °C), two mesocosm experiments were carried out in austral spring and autumn in temperate New Zealand coastal waters. Lower pH alone had no effect on chlorophyll-a in either experiment and, as the treatment pH was lower than the pH minimum recorded in a parallel four-year time series, this lack of response in chlorophyll-a was not attributable to prior in situ exposure. Conversely, chlorophyll-a increased under lower pH and warming in both experiments, with the large (>20 µm) phytoplankton size fraction showing opposing responses under nutrient deplete and replete conditions. Diatom biomass also increased in both treatments when nutrient availability was maintained, with a dominant pennate species Cylindrotheca clostridium emerging. The results highlight the value of contextual time series for experimental interpretation, and also the importance of assessing warming and acidification together using regionally representative nutrient concentrations, for prediction of coastal phytoplankton response to climate change.
Law et al. (Tue,) studied this question.