Assessment of prognostic value and interreader agreement of ANALI scores in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis

PURPOSE: ANALI-scores are two prognostic magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based scores developed for patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC). Our study aims to assess the interreader agreement between expert radiologists of the two ANALI-scores and of the radiological parameters they utilize, and to test the prognostic performance of the scores in our population. METHOD: Three radiologists evaluated MRIs of 98 PSC-patients from a prospectively collected cohort with median follow-up of 6.7 years. Each parameter of ANALI-scores was assessed, and the scores were calculated. Interreader agreement was assessed with intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). After consensus reading was reached, the prognostic value of ANALI-scores was assessed with Cox regression, and outcome-free survival rates were evaluated with Kaplan-Meier estimates. RESULTS: The ANALI-score without gadolinium had poor to moderate (ICC = 0.56, 95 %CI: 0.42-0.68) and with gadolinium poor (ICC = 0.30, 95 %CI: 0.16-0.44) agreement. Liver deformity (ICC = 0.28, 95 %CI: 0.13-0.44) and parenchymal enhancement heterogeneity (ICC = 0.24, 95 %CI: 0.12-0.38) had poor agreement. Portal hypertension had poor to moderate (ICC = 0.48, 95 %CI: 0.36-0.59) and dilatation of the intrahepatic ducts had moderate (ICC = 0.64, 95 %CI: 0.54-0.73) agreement. Hazard ratios for liver-related death, transplantation or cirrhosis decompensation of the ANALI-scores with and without gadolinium were 3.53 (95 %CI: 1.40-8.93) and 2.25 (95 %CI: 1.56-3.24), respectively. Outcome-free survival was better for patients with low ANALI-scores. CONCLUSIONS: The ANALI-scores show poor to moderate agreement, which challenges their usefulness in clinical practice. They are associated with clinical outcomes, confirming the value of imaging in prognosis of PSC, but need further multicenter evaluation.