Synthetic data for privacy-preserving clinical risk prediction

Synthetic data promise privacy-preserving data sharing for healthcare research and development. Compared with other privacy-enhancing approaches-such as federated learning-analyses performed on synthetic data can be applied downstream without modification, such that synthetic data can act in place of real data for a wide range of use cases. However, the role that synthetic data might play in all aspects of clinical model development remains unknown. In this work, we used state-of-the-art generators explicitly designed for privacy preservation to create a synthetic version of ever-smokers in the UK Biobank before building prognostic models for lung cancer under several data release assumptions. We demonstrate that synthetic data can be effectively used throughout the medical prognostic modeling pipeline even without eventual access to the real data. Furthermore, we show the implications of different data release approaches on how synthetic biobank data could be deployed within the healthcare system.