Deliverable D4.4 presents a prospective, economy-wide assessment of the impacts associated with the deployment and scale-up of the NET-Fuels technology in the EU for 2030 and 2050 scenarios. The analysis is based on an environmentally extended input-output framework using the EXIOBASE3 database, which provides coverage of inter-industry relationships, environmental emissions, material and resource flows, and employment by skill level and gender across multiple regions. The modelling framework connects NET-Fuels products and processes to corresponding products, sectors, and end uses, enabling the quantification of direct and indirect effects through the economy.Across 2030–2050, NET-Fuels deployment produces a measurable structural decarbonisation effect, shifting production from fossil supply chains toward NF products and co-products, and delivering net GHG reductions relative to a baseline counterfactual. Material and resource benefits are directionally positive but modest, while employment effects are slightly negative at the system level due to the contraction of labour fossil linked activities and broader productivity dynamics. The Deliverable is accompanied by a simplified Excel-based calculator that reproduces the main logic of the input-output impact calculations.
University of Bologna (Tue,) studied this question.