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Wu JT, Leung K, Leung GM. Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV outbreak originating in Wuhan, China: a modelling study. Lancet. 2020;395(10225):689-697. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30260-9. CrossRef Google Scholar
Vardavas et al. (Fri,) studied this question.