Classification accuracy as a proxy for two-sample testing

When data analysts train a classifier and check if its accuracy is significantly different from chance, they are implicitly performing a two-sample test. We investigate the statistical properties of this flexible approach in the high-dimensional setting. We prove two results that hold for all classifiers in any dimensions: if its true error remains -better than chance for some >0 as d, n, then (a) the permutation-based test is consistent (has power approaching to one), (b) a computationally efficient test based on a Gaussian approximation of the null distribution is also consistent. To get a finer understanding of the rates of consistency, we study a specialized setting of distinguishing Gaussians with mean-difference and common (known or unknown) covariance, when d/n c (0, ). We study variants of Fisher’s linear discriminant analysis (LDA) such as “naive Bayes” in a nontrivial regime when 0 (the Bayes classifier has true accuracy approaching 1/2), and contrast their power with corresponding variants of Hotelling’s test. Surprisingly, the expressions for their power match exactly in terms of n, d, , , and the LDA approach is only worse by a constant factor, achieving an asymptotic relative efficiency (ARE) of 1/ for balanced samples. We also extend our results to high-dimensional elliptical distributions with finite kurtosis. Other results of independent interest include minimax lower bounds, and the optimality of Hotelling’s test when d=o (n). Simulation results validate our theory, and we present practical takeaway messages along with natural open problems.