Vapor Pressure Deficit (VPD) is a critical determinant of atmospheric evaporative demand and plant water stress in tropical agricultural systems. This study applied a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) and K-Means clustering to 36,528 hourly meteorological observations collected from Eastern Thailand between August 2021 and September 2025, with the objective of identifying distinct atmospheric moisture regimes relevant to precision irrigation management in durian cultivation. Two input configurations were evaluated: a multivariate feature space comprising air temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, solar radiation, and VPD; and a univariate input consisting of VPD alone. Model selection for GMM was guided by the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), while K-Means performance was assessed using the Elbow method, Silhouette Coefficient, Calinski–Harabasz Index, and Davies–Bouldin Index. For the multivariate input, GMM identified K = 7 as the optimal number of clusters, supported by the largest single-step reduction in both AIC and BIC at this transition point. For the univariate VPD input, K = 5 was selected as the most parsimonious and agriculturally interpretable solution. The seven clusters derived from the multivariate GMM were organized into four atmospheric moisture regimes, such as very low, moderate, high, and very high evaporative demand, capturing the full spectrum of diurnal and seasonal VPD variability characteristic of Eastern Thailand. The results demonstrate that GMM-based probabilistic clustering applied to multivariate meteorological inputs provides a more comprehensive characterization of atmospheric moisture dynamics than univariate or geometric clustering approaches, offering a practical framework for tiered irrigation scheduling and drought stress early warning systems in tropical fruit cultivation.
Thongnim et al. (Sun,) studied this question.