The rapid development of airport economic zones has significantly reshaped regional land-use structures and industrial spatial organization. Taking the Nanjing Airport Economic Zone as the study area, this study integrates multi-source geospatial data, including land-use data, enterprise registration records, Points of Interest (POIs), transportation networks, nighttime light intensity, population, topography, and ecological-environmental variables for 2013, 2018, and 2023. Land-use transition matrices, spatial autocorrelation analysis, standard deviation ellipse analysis, Geodetector, and Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) models were employed to examine land-use transition, industrial spatial restructuring, and their influencing factors from 2013 to 2023. The results show that: (1) Land-use change in the study area was mainly characterized by the decline of cropland, the expansion of impervious surfaces, and the shrinkage of water bodies. From 2013 to 2023, cropland decreased from 81.07 km2 to 70.12 km2, impervious surfaces increased from 10.98 km2 to 25.65 km2, and water bodies decreased from 5.50 km2 to 1.79 km2. The conversion from cropland to impervious surfaces was the dominant transition pathway, covering 14.67 km2. (2) Industrial space exhibited significant spatial clustering, with a Moran’s I value of 0.9639 in 2023. The standard deviation ellipse results indicate that industrial space expanded during 2013–2018 and contracted during 2018–2023, suggesting a shift from extensive outward expansion to relative agglomeration around the core area and major transport corridors. (3) Nighttime light intensity and distance to major transport access points were important explanatory factors for industrial spatial distribution, with q-values of 0.396 and 0.310, respectively. The interaction between slope and metro accessibility showed the strongest explanatory power, with a q-value of 0.6967. The MGWR results further revealed the spatial heterogeneity of the effects of transportation, economic activity, population concentration, and ecological constraints. Overall, land-use transition and industrial spatial restructuring in the Nanjing Airport Economic Zone were jointly shaped by transportation accessibility, economic vitality, population agglomeration, and ecological constraints. These findings provide a reference for land-use optimization and industrial spatial governance in airport economic zones.
Sun et al. (Tue,) studied this question.