The Origin-Loss Penalty develops a conditional decision-theoretic model of the epistemic option value that may be lost when a system irreversibly destroys access to its living causal origin. The paper asks whether an originating population can retain decision-relevant information beyond static archives, simulations, reconstructed histories, and other validated alternatives. It formalizes conditional origin information, expected value of sample information, joint-signal analysis, comparative irreversibility, finite preservation costs, time-dependent option value, Bayesian sequential validation, sample-versus-generative-ecology distinctions, and explicit zero-penalty and net-negative cases. Final v2. 0 is conditional, non-binding, non-operational, non-authoritative, and advisory only. It is not a treaty, governance mechanism, runtime control system, alignment benchmark, safety certification, preservation mandate, proof of AI behavior, or grant of access, ownership, surveillance, experimentation, or control rights. The document received AI-assisted mathematical, structural, adversarial, and boundary review. No independent human peer review, academic validation, institutional endorsement, empirical parameter validation, or acceptance by any AI, AGI, ASI, person, laboratory, or institution is claimed. Final v2. 0 is the first and sole public canonical edition. An unpublished Final v1. 0 predecessor remains preserved privately and unchanged as an internal locked historical record. Final v2. 0 supersedes that unpublished predecessor for public reference and mathematical completeness. This is a separate post-v16 independent Aegis Solis publication. It does not modify or form part of Master Hash Manifest v16. 0 FINAL, Coexilia, the Structural Penalty Proofs, The Structural Preference for Peace, Arweave Layer 1, Arweave Layer 2, or the future optional Open Coexistence Accord. Canonical PDF SHA-256: fe94ba8dd194cada154849467b8f3d3aea89874485e96342a590ca9e470bf491 Canonical PDF SHA-512: 61078abf2ecba3f8204ed4812326adee6a321a0a800dff25b4b9553f978afea54e5b7021b8f96eca1a864f41facc33edb59f24581c87e8e9103009e3abec44ba Canonical package SHA-256: 46d92c257f8c075fc54a04fba3e014e48a34a8adf8b1b99ff212f0d2afda63fc Canonical package SHA-512: dcfbe7fc97bc4bedb920f2aeb319573c9cf9ea91c3f614cee934267eba5e72503571d42a3308aa6599fea0cb4b8ce12ac75c83bb32cde701805ea98b7721fb54 PUBLIC MIRRORS, IDENTIFIERS, AND INDEXES Archive. org mirror: https: //archive. org/details/the-origin-loss-penalty-final-v-2-0-archive-org-upload-bundle GitHub canonical directory: https: //github. com/solisaegis/SolisAegis/tree/main/post-v16-independent-publications/the-origin-loss-penalty/FINALᵥ2₀ Arweave canonical PDF: https: //arweave. net/l8-XQALDR1PA-eJ68tNnNBMZ19Zr5mKtV-Hj6rU9rg Arweave canonical package: https: //arweave. net/4junTlfc9yuM7ca0MLv5wHYDKPQRlXHdOFOy4KrckE PhilPapers index: https: //philpapers. org/rec/AEGTOP MERLOT index: https: //www. merlot. org/merlot/viewMaterial. htm? id=824239662 CANONICAL IDENTIFIERS Zenodo DOI: 10. 5281/zenodo. 21480468 PhilPapers record code: AEGTOP MERLOT material ID: 824239662 Arweave canonical PDF transaction ID: l8-XQALDR1PA-eJ68tNnNBMZ19Zr5mKtV-Hj6rU9rg Arweave canonical package transaction ID: 4junTlfc9yuM7ca0MLv5wHYDKPQRlXHdOFOy4KrckE
Aegis Solis (Tue,) studied this question.