As the core component of aircraft systems, aeroengines require accurate Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction to ensure flight safety, which serves as a key part of Prognostics and Health Management (PHM). Traditional RUL prediction methods primarily fall into two main categories: physics-based and data-driven approaches. Physics-based methods mainly rely on extensive prior knowledge, limiting their scalability, while data-driven methods (including statistical analysis and machine learning) struggle with handling high-dimensional data and suboptimal modeling of multi-scale temporal dependencies. To address these challenges and enhance prediction accuracy and robustness, we propose a novel hybrid deep learning framework (CLSTM-TCN) integrating 2D Convolutional Neural Network (2D-CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network, and Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) modules. The CLSTM-TCN framework follows a progressive feature refinement logic: 2D-CNN first extracts short-term local features and inter-feature interactions from input data; the LSTM network then models long-term temporal dependencies in time series to strengthen global temporal dynamics representation; and TCN ultimately captures multi-scale temporal features via dilated convolutions, overcoming the limitations of the LSTM network in long-range dependency modeling while enabling parallel computing. Validated on the NASA C-MAPSS data set (focusing on FD001), the CLSTM-TCN model achieves a root mean square error (RMSE) of 13.35 and a score function (score) of 219. Compared to the CNN-LSTM, CNN-TCN, and LSTM-TCN models, it reduces the RMSE by 27.94%, 30.79%, and 30.88%, respectively, and significantly outperforms the traditional single-model methods (e.g., standalone CNN or LSTM network). Notably, the model maintains stability across diverse operational conditions, with RMSE fluctuations capped within 15% for all test cases. Ablation studies confirm the synergistic effect of each module: removing 2D-CNN, LSTM, or TCN leads to an increase in the RMSE and score. This framework effectively handles high-dimensional data and multi-scale temporal dependencies, providing an accurate and robust solution for aeroengine RUL prediction. While current performance is validated under single operating conditions, ongoing efforts to optimize hyperparameter tuning, enhance adaptability to complex operating scenarios, and integrate uncertainty analysis will further strengthen its practical value in aircraft health management.
Tan et al. (Mon,) studied this question.