Clinical advantages of incorporating predicted weekly anatomy in IMPT optimization with reduced setup error

Abstract Background In head and neck (H&N) cancer treatment, a conventional setup error (SE) of 3mm is often used in robust optimization (cRO3mm). However, cRO3mm may lead to excessive radiation doses to organs at risk (OARs) and does not purposefully compensate for interfractional anatomy variations. Purpose This study introduces a method using predicted images from an anatomical model and a reduced 1mm SE uncertainty for robust optimization (aRO1mm), aiming to decrease the dose to OARs without affecting the coverage of the clinical target volume (CTV). Methods This retrospective study involved 10 nasopharynx radiotherapy patients. Validation CT scans (vCT) from treatment weeks 1 to 6 were analyzed. A predictive anatomical model, designed to capture the average anatomical changes over time, provided predicted CT images for weeks 1, 3, and 5. We compared three optimization scenarios: (1) aRO1mm, using three predicted images with 1mm setup shift and 3% range uncertainty, (2) cRO3mm, with a robust 3mm setup shift and 3% range uncertainty, and (3) cRO1mm, a robust 1mm setup shift and 3% range uncertainty. The accumulated dose to CTVs and serial organs was evaluated under these uncertainties, while parallel OARs were assessed using the accumulated nominal dose (without errors). Results The accumulated volume receiving 94% of the prescribed dose (V94) for CTVs in cRO3mm exceeded 98%, meeting the clinical goal. For high‐risk CTV, the minimum V94 was 96.44% in aRO1mm and 94.05% in cRO1mm. For low‐risk CTV, these values were 97.68% in aRO1mm and 97.15% in cRO1mm. When comparing aRO1mm to cRO3mm on OARs, aRO1mm reduced normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) for grade 2 xerostomia and dysphagia by averages of 3.67% and 1.54%, respectively. Conclusion aRO1mm lowers the radiation dose to OARs compared to the traditional approach, while maintaining adequate dose coverage on the target area. This method offers an improved strategy for managing uncertainties in radiation therapy planning for H&N cancer, enhancing treatment effectiveness.