Predictors for Device-Detected Subclinical Atrial Fibrillation: An Up-to-Date Narrative Review

Background: Device-detected subclinical atrial fibrillation (SCAF) and atrial high-rate episodes (AHRE) are increasingly recognized in patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices and through long-term rhythm monitoring. Although often asymptomatic, these episodes are associated with a higher risk of clinical atrial fibrillation (AF), stroke, and heart failure. Aims: This narrative review summarizes clinical, electrocardiographic, echocardiographic, and circulating biomarkers associated with the development and progression of device-detected SCAF/AHRE. Methods: We performed a comprehensive search of PubMed, Embase, and Scopus using combinations of the terms “subclinical atrial fibrillation”, “atrial high-rate episodes”, “device-detected AF”, “predictive factors”, “P-wave morphology”, “echocardiographic parameters”, “left atrial strain”, and “biological markers”. We included English-language-only studies of patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices or long-term monitoring and reporting incident SCAF/AHRE or AF as outcomes, published in the last 10 years. Results: Older age, high body mass index, heart failure, obstructive sleep apnea, and C2HEST score are consistently associated with SCAF. On-surface electrocardiogram (ECG) and device electrograms, prolonged and dispersed P-wave indices, low atrial sensing amplitude, and specific pacing configurations, particularly right ventricular apical pacing with wide QRS, predict incident and longer-lasting AHRE. Echocardiographic markers of atrial cardiomyopathy, including increased left atrial volume and impaired atrial strain, together with indices of left ventricular diastolic dysfunction, further refine risk. Among circulating biomarkers, galectin-3 and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein show the most reproducible associations with incident AHRE. Conclusions: A multiparametric approach combining clinical profile, ECG features, advanced echocardiography, and selected biomarkers may improve identification of patients at risk for device-detected SCAF. Further prospective studies are needed to define risk thresholds that justify intensified rhythm surveillance and early initiation of anticoagulation or rhythm control strategies, especially in AHRE shorter than 24 h.