High-precision temperature prediction is crucial for dealing with extreme weather events under the background of global warming. However, due to the limitations of computing resources, numerical weather prediction models are difficult to directly provide high spatio-temporal resolution data that meets the specific application requirements of a certain region. This problem is particularly prominent in areas with complex terrain. The use of remote sensing data, especially high-resolution terrain data, provides key information for understanding and simulating the interaction between land and atmosphere in complex terrain, making the integration of remote sensing and NWP outputs to achieve high-precision meteorological element downscaling a core challenge. Aiming at the challenge of temperature scaling in complex terrain areas of Southwest China, this paper proposes a novel deep learning model—Terrain Adaptive U-Net Transformer (TAUT). This model takes the encoder–decoder structure of U-Net as the skeleton, deeply integrates the global attention mechanism of Swin Transformer and the local spatiotemporal feature extraction ability of three-dimensional convolution, and innovatively introduces the multi-branch terrain adaptive module (MBTA). The adaptive integration of terrain remote sensing data with various meteorological data, such as temperature fields and wind fields, has been achieved. Eventually, in the complex terrain area of Southwest China, a spatio-temporal high-resolution downscaling of 2 m temperature was realized (from 0.1° in space to 0.01°, and from 3 h intervals to 1 h intervals in time). The experimental results show that within the 48 h downscaling window period, the TAUT model outperforms the comparison models such as bilinear interpolation, SRCNN, U-Net, and EDVR in all evaluation metrics (MAE, RMSE, COR, ACC, PSNR, SSIM). The systematic ablation experiment verified the independent contributions and synergistic effects of the Swin Transformer module, the 3D convolution module, and the MBTA module in improving the performance of each model. In addition, the regional terrain verification shows that this model demonstrates good adaptability and stability under different terrain types (mountains, plateaus, basins). Especially in cases of high-temperature extreme weather, it can more precisely restore the temperature distribution details and spatial textures affected by the terrain, verifying the significant impact of terrain remote sensing data on the accuracy of temperature downscaling. The core contribution of this study lies in the successful construction of a hybrid architecture that can jointly leverage the local feature extraction advantages of CNN and the global context modeling capabilities of Transformer, and effectively integrate key terrain remote sensing data through dedicated modules. The TAUT model offers an effective deep learning solution for precise temperature prediction in complex terrain areas and also provides a referential framework for the integration of remote sensing data and numerical model data in deep learning models.
Cheng et al. (Tue,) studied this question.