The European Union Deforestation-Free Products Regulation (EUDR), which will enter into force on December 30, 2026, represents a critical turning point for the Colombian coffee sector. This study analyzes the implications of the EUDR for the country’s 540,000 coffee producers, of whom 96% are smallholders cultivating less than five hectares. Through an extensive review of academic literature, regulatory documents, and sectoral data, the article examines the regulation’s fundamental paradox: while it seeks to promote environmental sustainability, its compliance requirements—precise geolocation, land tenure documentation, full traceability, and verification of “labor rights”—threaten to exclude precisely the most vulnerable producers, who grow coffee in biodiverse agroforestry systems. The study identifies five critical structural barriers: (1) land tenure informality affecting 52% of rural properties; (2) regressive compliance costs of USD 105,000–215,000 for cooperatives of 500 farmers; (3) regulatory ambiguity regarding “fair pay” and labor rights requirements; (4) inadequate institutional capacity for farm-level labor verification; and (5) an impossibly compressed implementation timeline. The analysis reveals that, without urgent intervention, up to 280,000 coffee-farming families (50% of the sector) face the risk of exclusion from the European market, which accounts for 30% of Colombian coffee exports (USD 580–700 million annually). The article concludes that equitable implementation of the EUDR requires massive financing for smallholders, accelerated land formalization, clarification of labor requirements, and cost-redistribution mechanisms along the value chain. Without these adjustments, the EUDR may exacerbate the North–South inequalities that have historically characterized global coffee value chains, transforming a well-intentioned environmental regulation into a mechanism of economic concentration and social exclusion.
Trujillo et al. (Wed,) studied this question.