Landscape of regulatory quantitative systems pharmacology submissions to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration: An update report

The number of quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) submissions to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has continued to increase over the past decade. This report summarizes the landscape of QSP submissions as of December 2023. QSP was used to inform drug development across various therapeutic areas and throughout the drug development process of small molecular drugs and biologics and has facilitated dose finding, dose ranging, and dose optimization studies. Though the majority of QSP submissions (>66%) focused on drug effectiveness, QSP was also utilized to simulate drug safety including liver toxicity, risk of cytokine release syndrome (CRS), bone density, and others. This report also includes individual contexts of use from a handful of new drug applications (NDAs) and biologics license applications where QSP modeling was used to demonstrate the utility of QSP modeling in regulatory drug development. According to the models submitted in QSP submissions, an anonymous case was utilized to illustrate how QSP informed development of a bispecific monoclonal antibody with respect to CRS risk. QSP submissions for informing pediatric drug development were summarized along with highlights of a case in inborn errors of metabolism. Furthermore, simulations of response variability with QSP were described. In summary, QSP continues to play a role in informing drug development.